Bradley Model Performance Using a Very Simplistic Approach
 
 
One method of employing the Bradley Model, especially appealing to some, is to apply it using the annual low and high (or the major low and high points) of the Bradley Siderograph Indicator each year as Buy and Sell signals, respectively.  Sometimes there isn't a low for the year since, for example, the Bradley Siderograph may be trending lower into the following year (this occurred at the end of 2002 and the beginning of 2003) ... same goes for occasional Bradley Siderograph uptrends continuing into the succeeding year.  This method using Bradley's Siderograph is not suited for everyone.  The approach may be boring to some, particularly traders.  However; check the results below using this simple approach vs. the major stock averages, ETFs and several mutual funds since we began tracking Bradley using this method live in early 1998.

The performance numbers below includes dividends except on the market averages, i.e., Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500, NYSE Stock Composite, NASDAQ Composite, Value Line Geometric and Arithmetic, and Dow Jones Total Stock Market.  It also includes assumed earned interest while out of the market at the average of the Fidelity Cash Reserves (a large U.S. money market fund) 7-day compound rates on sell and buy dates.  Transaction costs and taxes are not included.  This approach has an impressive track record perhaps worthy of consideration.  It is doubtful its success can be attributed only to a string of coincidences ... if so, it's quite a string.
 
The last signal, July 29, 2011, was a SELL signal by the technique described above.

PLEASE NOTE: There is a substantial time delay in updating signal performance on this webpage in deference to those who purchase the Bradley Model software.
 
The following performance summary of was compiled by Pritt Galford, the creator of a Bradley Siderograph Indicator calculating software.  These results were derived from real-time monitoring and based on the computed Bradley Siderograph Indicator from our software, which is for sale.  If you find these results interesting and want to know more, the complete details of our Bradley software is at http://aunegl.com where it may also be purchased.

If you are viewing this summary accessed from other sources, please click on the above link which will take you to our home page that leads to further details.  Although this summary is believed to be accurate, errors can occur and any are unintentional; therefore, proceed accordingly.
 
 

            ANNUALIZED COMPOUND GROWTH PERCENTAGE RATES:
                             -------At Last SELL Signal--------
                                                 L                                Per-
                             % Using  % Using    o              $10,000 Grew to   cent
                             Bradley   Buy    W  s              at Last Buy/Sell   of
   1/22/1998 to 07/29/2011      for     &     i  s   Avg.  Avg.  ----Signal-----  time
                              Annual   Hold   n  e   Win  Loss   Using   As Per    at
   BENCHMARK                   Trade  (B&H)   s  s    %     %   Bradley  (B&H)    Risk
   --------------------------  -----  -----  -- --  ----- -----  ------ ------  ------  

   Dow Jones Industrials        9.27   3.22  14  1   8.56  9.23  $33156 $15341   54.17
   S&P 500 Index               10.55   2.09  12  3  12.03  5.11   38804  13221   54.17
   Vanguard 500 Index Fund     11.80   4.39  13  2  12.26  6.65   45152  17873   54.17
   SPY                         12.03   3.95  13  2  12.23  5.42   46397  16886   54.17
   New York Stock Composite    10.78   3.05  13  2  10.62  4.21   39887  15007   54.17
   Vanguard Total Stock Market 12.88   5.00  13  2  13.30  6.27   51416  19333   54.17
   NASDAQ Composite Index      16.58   4.05  12  3  21.93 11.13   79519  17112   54.17
   QQQQ since 8/10/1999:       13.31   0.90  10  3  21.11 12.55   44629  11133   53.40
   USAA NASDAQ 100
      since 1/26/2001:          7.73  -1.45   9  3  13.96 13.84   21855   8575   51.88
   Rydex bull/bear combinations:
      Nova & Inverse SP500:    19.37   N.M.* 20  9  16.95  6.02  109431   N.M.* 100.00
      OTC 2x Strategy & Inverse
        OTC 2x Strategy since
        7/19/2000:             12.74   N.M.* 14 10  34.54 19.63   37513   N.M.* 100.00
      SP500 2x & Inverse SP500
        2x since 7/19/2000:    15.98   N.M.* 15  9  22.54 12.74   51277   N.M.* 100.00
   Russell Growth 1000 Index   13.10   1.97  12  3  16.33  8.49   52806  13020   54.17
   iShares Russell 2000 Index
        since 1/26/2001:       14.89   5.32  11  1  13.66  2.73   42966  17232   51.88
   Value Line:
      Geometric Index          10.54  -1.43  12  3  11.83  4.41   38756   8236   54.17
      Arithmetic Index         16.36   9.43  14  1  15.11  4.49   77525  33800   54.17
   Dow Jones Total Stock Mkt.# 12.35   2.87  13  2  12.82  6.94   48244  14661   54.17
   Fidelity Investments:
      Growth Discovery Fund**  16.59   6.55  14  2  16.10  5.01   79577  23555   54.15
      Fidelity Fund
           since 7/1/1998:     12.63   3.02  13  2  12.02  2.95   47341  14749   52.64
      Growth Companies Fund    17.67   7.54  12  3  21.39  6.26   90177  26721   54.17
      Stock Selector           12.55   3.49  13  2  13.00  6.63   49428  15888   54.17
      Dividend Growth          13.14   5.07  12  3  14.76  3.94   53026  19520   54.17
      Trend Fund               15.44   5.17  13  2  16.19  6.19   69609  19758   54.17
      Value Fund               12.92   6.46  13  2  13.46  7.29   51679  23302   54.17
      OTC Fund since 
        10/21/1999:            15.36   3.63  10  3  21.30 10.40   53775  15219   52.62
   INVESCO Dynamics Fund       18.96   5.10  13  2  22.25 15.01  104486  19580   54.17
   Wells Fargo Advantage:
      Growth Fund:+            19.11   7.74  13  2  22.75 13.85  106275  27400   54.17
      Opportunity Fund:+       15.86   6.85  13  2  15.46  1.19   73087  24492   54.17
      Large Cap. Fund:+        14.46   3.97  12  3  18.45  8.86   62067  16916   54.17
 
*N.M. = "Not Meaningful" since the portfolio involves 2 non-concurrent investments
with opposing objectives, therefore at risk 100% of the time.
** Name changed from Fidelity Contra II Fund to Fidelity Growth Discovery Fund on 
8/29/2003.
# Formerly Dow Wilshire 5000 Index.
+ Formerly Strong Investments' funds.
 
 
 
Last updated 09/30/2011 © 2011 copyright aunegl.com - Bradley Model Performance